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Get ready for a boom—in bankruptcies.
“We are seeing an acceleration in bankruptcies that is unprecedented,” said James Hammond, CEO of New Generation Research which runs BankruptcyData. For 2020, he says, “I’m pretty confident we will see more bankruptcies than in any business person’s lifetime.”
Ranked by assets alone, says Hammond, the magnitude of bankruptcies this year has already surpassed that of 2008. And that’s not including what could happen when the government’s Paycheck Protection Program, which aims to keep small businesses up and running with loans that can be converted to grants if certain terms are met, runs out.
The largest Chapter 11 bankruptcy so far has been that of car-rental company, Hertz. Unable to hold on after the travel industry effectively hit the brakes, the company is now selling off much of its fleet in a bid to meet demands from creditors. Others in sectors ranging from oil and gas, to retail, to aviation have similarly suffered to navigate the pandemic.
Editor’s note: Chesapeake Energy, an oil and gas company, filed for bankruptcy protection on Sunday. With assets of roughly $16.2 billion and liabilities of $11.8 billion, the filing represents the fourth largest bankruptcy by assets so far in 2020, above that of Intelstat’s.
Notably, Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings means a company is struggling, but doesn’t mean that it will cease operating.
“You have an enormous pile of corporate debt that has been accumulating, which the debt and restructuring world had been concerned about for a couple of years, and all of a sudden in the space of almost no time at all, investors are asking questions about the ability to service debt,” says Hammond. “08′ 09′ was a financial crisis. This is now everywhere.”
By sheer number of bankruptcies, restaurants have been the hardest hit, per rankings from Bankruptcydata. Recently, CEC, the company behind restaurant and entertainment venue, Chuck E. Cheese, closed down locations and filed for bankruptcy protection as the coronavirus shuttered restaurants and challenged live-events companies.
Even as the U.S. reopens, Hammond is not optimistic. Bankruptcy filings, notes Hammond, are a lagging indicator. Now he says, “we are at the waterfall.”
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